Electromobility leads to a radical reduction
on the imported oil
Without
inverting the current trend in less than 10 years
is likely to almost
double the bill of oil imports and almost double the CO2 emissions
due to road transport. Both Onshore Wind and Photovoltaic solar find more
favorable conditions in
than in the average Europe. The production of
electricity by renewable sources made by privates should be incentivized. The
production of electricity made by national institutions should be made a
priority and mandatory.
Potential growth in the number of cars in
without
electromobility
2017: Population 80 million
----- Cars on the road: 22 million
2017: 275 cars every 1000 people
2017: Annual Cost of Oil for
road transport in
about 13€Bn
2025: Population 85 million --- Cars
on the road: 30-40 million
2025: 353-470 cars every 1000
people (still below the EU average**)
2025: Annual Cost of Oil for
road transport in
about 20-24€Bn
**Italy 2017:
40 million cars on the road, 700 cars every 1000 people
The convergence of Electromobility
and Renewable energy in
The
convergence between EVs and RE is the most effective way, E-Mobility and RE are
both at a point of no return. The introduction of EVs means a potential:
●
Primary energy savings: 30-50%
●
GHG reduction: 1/3rd to 1/15th
●
Quasi complete cancellation of Local Noxious Emissions (World Health Organisation: Outdoor air pollution kills more
than 3.5 million people a year globally. Road
transport is likely responsible for about half. The cost of air pollution:
Health impacts of road transport.
http://www.oecd.org/environment/cost-of-air-pollution.htm)
●
Noise reduction (Note: the
current sources on the impact of noise on health lack of a solid scientific
approach but it is now more and more evident that noise in big cities is
greatly contributing to many premature loss of lives)
On liquid and gaseous fuels
The price
of conventional oil is economically unsustainable for several oil producing
nations. Oil from bituminous sands and shale oil are much more carbon intensive
than conventional crude oil, besides they require large quantities of water and
natural gas. Bituminous sands, shale oil, natural and shale gas cannot be
considered a solution to mitigate climate change. Neither first generation
biofuels, nor third generation ones (algae), have proven to have a Life Cycle
large sufficient positive energy balance and currently appear to be inadequate
solutions to the challenges posed by oil.
Cellulosic
bioethanol (second generation biofuels), although having a rather positive
energy return, needs to be further developed before it can meet cost parity
with petroleum based fuels.
•
Excluding biogas the impact of all other biofuels on greenhouse gases is
arguable
• The
impact of biofuels on noxious emissions is arguable.
• The
production of low cost biofuels is challenging.
None amongst all liquid and gaseous fuels
would allow
to seriously reduce its dependency from primary energy. The
only possibility is a quick move to renewable energy and electromobility.